Recent Economic
Performance

How has the Philippine economy fared recently? Numerous indicators can be examined together in order to know how active and wealth-producing an economy is. Generally, economic performance is measured in terms of Output, Wages, and Employment. Many look at financial indicators, such as Exchange Rates and Interest Rates. Other indicators break the Output down into categories of goods and services, such as those from the manufacturing or service sectors. Still others look at debt figures; the domestic stock exchange scene; and the names of top corporations located in the country.
Output, Employment and Wages
According to the latest figures (June 2002), the Philippines posted a positive 4.9% growth for the first quarter of 2002, up from a 3.4% during the same period last year. The year-to-year data, however, shows the economy has yet to recover its condition before the Asian financial crisis hit in 1997. Back then, the country was posting an average of 5% annual growth rate.
Item |
1995 | 2001 |
2001 First Quarter |
2002 First Quarter |
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|
824.5 | 1051.1 | 248.9 | 261.1 | ||
annual % change |
4.9 | 3.4 | 3.4 | 4.9 | ||
|
802.2 | 989.3 | 233.1 | 241.9 | ||
annual % change |
4.7 | 3.2 | 2.9 | 3.8 | ||
|
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| Personal consumption | 623.0 | 779.0 | 179.4 | 185.6 | ||
| Government consumption | 65.8 | 79.9 | 18.8 | 18.8 | ||
| Gross Domestic Capital Formation | 187.1 | 206.3 | 57.4 | 56.6 | ||
| Exports | 344.2 | 425.0 | 105.9 | 102.8 | ||
| Imports | 428.5 | 485.4 | 114.3 | 109.6 | ||
|
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| Agriculture, Fishery, Forestry | 172.8 | 197.7 | 49.2 | 51.4 | ||
| Industry Sector | 283.9 | 336.7 | 78.0 | 79.5 | ||
| Service Sector | 345.5 | 454.8 | 106.0 | 111.1 | ||
|
11734 | 131.26 | 3124 | 3210 | ||
annual % change |
2.4 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 2.8 | ||
|
9.5 | 11.1 | 12.3 | 12.1 | ||
|
157.08 | 274.89 | ---- | ---- | ||
|
Source: Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas, 2002. Note: Data as of June 2002. For an elaboration of the figures and technical computation, visit <http://www.bsp.gov.ph/Statistics/sefi/sefip1.htm> |
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Inflation
The National Economic and Development Authority reported in June 2002 that year-on-year inflation has remained stable at 3.6%, mainly due to a decline in food inflation. In 2002, non-food inflation rate went up, however, to 5.1% from 4.8% in April because of increases in the prices of fuel, electricity, and water. Year-on-year inflation is at 5.1% in Metro Manila, while in the provinces the rate is much lower at 3% for May. NEDA also announced that
| exports recovered by 22.4% in April | |
| electricity sales by Manila Electric
Company rose for the first time in April after three consecutive months in decline With this favorable trend, Philippine economic managers expect that: |
| the annual inflation target for 2002 will be lowered from 5 to 6% to 4.5 to 5.5% | |
| the low inflation rate will reduce any upward pressure on Treasure bill rates, and | |
| it will bolster investor confidence. |
Agriculture
The country relies mainly on aquaculture and agriculture, although lands are rapidly giving way to commercial and residential uses. Agricultural production in 2000 had not picked up from its registered output in 1996; in fact production fell drastically in since 1997 and began to recover only in 2000.
A big factor for this is the frequent destruction of crops from the more than 20 typhoons that visit the country every year.
Another problem is the competition among countries that produce agricultural products: high tariff rates and government subsidies for their own agricultural sector are heavily affecting exporting countries like the Philippines. [See Related Article on "GMA Scores Trade Protectionism"]
Philippine agricultural crops can be divided between the cereal types (palay and corn) and other major crops (coconut, sugarcane, banana, pineapple, coffee, mango, tobacco, abaca, rubber, cacao, cassava, camote, peanut, mongo, onion, garlic, tomato, eggplant, cabbage, citrus and others).
|
Crops (in thousand metric tons) |
1996 | 2000 (preliminary data) |
| All agricultural crops | 69,128.5 | 68,112.1 |
| Cereals | 15,434.9 | 16,900.5 |
| Major crops | 44,460.4 | 46,007.0 |
| Other crops | 9,233.2 | 5,204.6 |
|
Source: National Statistical Coordination Board, 2002 Note: Data as of June 2002 |
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Fish production |
Total | Fishing Operation | ||
| Commercial Fishing | Municipal Fishing | Aquaculture | ||
| 1992 | 65,443.5 | 16,800.7 | 22,656.4 | 25,986.5 |
| 1995 | 83,084.1 | 23,065.4 | 26,463.8 | 33,554.9 |
| 2000 (preliminary) | 98,088.0 | 33,878.0 | 32,596.0 | 31,614.0 |
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Source: National Statistical Coordination Board, 2002 Note: Data as of June 2002 |
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Foreign Trade
The Philippines trades mainly with Asian countries. In 2000, the trade was heavily directed toward Asian countries, including the ASEAN, East Asia, South East, and the Middle East. North America followed, then Europe, Oceania, and Africa.
|
Trade (F.O.B. value in million U.S. dollars) |
2001 |
| Total trade | 61,701.20 |
| Exports | 32,150.30 |
| Imports | 29,550.90 |
| Balance of Trade | 2,599.4 |
Source: National Statistical Coordination Board, 2002 |
|
Jobs in Urban and Rural Areas
In urban areas, the most common occupations are in community, social and personal services, while in the rural areas, men and women are engaged in agriculture, fishery and forestry. In 2000, according to the National Statistics Office, male urban workers mostly worked in production and transportation, while female urban workers were commonly found in sales jobs.
Household Income
In the past housewives undertook wage-earning jobs mainly to augment family incomes. Recent years, however, have shown a surge in the number of female-headed households, not just in the Philippines, but also in many parts of the globe. In the Philippines, the average average household income for 1997 of households headed by women was higher than the average income of male-headed households.
| Women | Men |
|
| Ave. household annual income by sex of household heads in 1997 (NSO data) | P 163,400.00 | P 121,003.00 |
| Poor households among women (Men)-headed household in 1994 (NSO data) | 23.7 % | 39.8% |
|
Source: National Statistical Coordination Board, 2002 Note: Data as of June 2002 |
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